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Views on the economy, the markets, and disciplined risk management.
CIO Insights: June 14, 2024
In June’s CIO Insights, James St. Aubin unpacks recent economic reports and the Fed’s June meeting in relation to the markets.
While the JOLTS report was needed before cutting rates, CPI was essentially “a dream report” and non-farm payroll exceeded expectations, the household survey resulted in skepticism. St. Aubin reveals which hot contributor to inflation was flat, generating favorable stock and bond market reactions. In under 5 minutes, he also reveals rate cuts projected through 2025 and why there’s still room for caution.
CIO Insights: March 29, 2024
In this short video, CIO James St. Aubin gives a quick recap of Q1 2024 economic and market forces. Fixed income and equity markets entered the quarter with strong rallies, driven by expectations of both cooling inflation and resilient growth. However, once expectations for the Fed to cut rates declined, turbulence in the bond market appeared. St. Aubin also shares GDP growth and earnings outlooks and prompts us to prepare for March CPI data, which comes out on April 10. Of note: recent rising energy prices are likely to create some tailwinds for the inflation story, which will likely create headwinds for the bond market in the second quarter.
CIO Insights: February 29, 2024
In this February 29, 2024 edition of CIO Insights, James St. Aubin discusses how consumers could control the fate of the economy, for better or worse.
CIO Insights: February 5, 2024
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